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Understanding social fragmentation in a Hamiltonian approach

Understanding social fragmentation in a Hamiltonian approach

Stefan Thurner (ORCID: 0000-0003-2495-6819)
  • Grant DOI 10.55776/P33751
  • Funding program Principal Investigator Projects
  • Status ended
  • Start December 1, 2020
  • End October 31, 2024
  • Funding amount € 340,988
  • E-mail

Disciplines

Other Social Sciences (5%); Computer Sciences (30%); Mathematics (5%); Physics, Astronomy (60%)

Keywords

    Opinion Formation, Co-Evolutionary Dynamics, Social Fragmentation, Spin Glass, Phase Transitions, Social Balance Theory

Abstract Final report

Like many social phenomena, the formation of individuals` opinions within a society emerges as a result of the complex interactions within friendship-, communication-, or other types of social networks. This happens through a dynamic process in which opinions and the respective network simultaneously co-evolve and influence each other. We currently witness a societal fragmentation where individuals cooperate within groups but become increasingly hostile between groups. While modern social media are often attributed as a cause for this fragmentation, and so called filter bubbles or echo chambers are believed to have a negative impact on opinion formation processes in democracies, its details and dynamics remain largely unknown. We want to clarify the main driving forces behind social fragmentation within the framework of physics-inspired opinion formation models. We propose a model of a toy society that incorporates two fundamentals of social dynamics, opinion formation based on copying opinions of others, and structural social balance, meaning e.g. that my friends friend is my friend. Similar models in physics show phase transitions. They correspond with a rapid change within the system, e.g. the change from ice to water when temperature increases. Similarly to temperature, there are critical parameters that separate a homogenous society from a fragmented one. In this project, we try to find such parameters to better understand, when a society is expected to disintegrate into rivaling groups, impeding democratic decision processes. A main observation is that the increase of communication processes within the population could be involved in the fragmentation process. We want to uncover this possibility within the project.

In today's society, we are witnessing an increasing divide-people form tightly-knit groups where they cooperate internally but grow more hostile toward those outside their circles. This fragmentation emerges from the complex web of social interactions, where opinions and relationships evolve together over time. Two fundamental forces shape these social interactions: homophily and Heider balance. Homophily is the tendency of like-minded individuals to form connections-captured by the saying, "birds of a feather flock together." Heider balance, on the other hand, follows the principle that "the friend of my friend is my friend, and the enemy of my friend is my enemy." These two mechanisms play a crucial role in how opinions spread and how social groups form and evolve. Recently, we have seen a rise in polarization, with people clustering into echo chambers-isolated groups where similar views reinforce one another while differing perspectives are excluded. In this project, we investigated the key forces driving this fragmentation using physics-inspired models of opinion formation. We developed a simplified model of society that incorporates homophily and Heider balance to explore the conditions under which social groups become deeply divided. Just like in physical systems, where matter undergoes phase transitions-such as water turning into ice when temperatures drop-our models reveal that societies can suddenly shift from a state of coexistence to deep polarization. By identifying the key parameters driving these transitions, we gained insight into when and how a society may split into opposing factions. One striking finding is that increased communication-particularly through modern social media-can accelerate fragmentation rather than fostering understanding. The rise of filter bubbles and echo chambers online demonstrates how digital interactions can unintentionally reinforce societal divisions, potentially undermining democratic discourse. By better understanding these mechanisms, we hope to contribute to discussions on how to counteract polarization and build more cohesive societies.

Research institution(s)
  • Medizinische Universität Wien - 100%

Research Output

  • 57 Citations
  • 13 Publications
  • 13 Disseminations
  • 4 Scientific Awards
Publications
  • 2024
    Title Nonequilibrium thermodynamics of uncertain stochastic processes
    DOI 10.1103/physrevresearch.6.013021
    Type Journal Article
    Author Korbel J
    Journal Physical Review Research
    Pages 013021
    Link Publication
  • 2024
    Title Firm-level supply chains to minimize unemployment and economic losses in rapid decarbonization scenarios
    DOI 10.1038/s41893-024-01321-x
    Type Journal Article
    Author Stangl J
    Journal Nature Sustainability
    Pages 581-589
    Link Publication
  • 2023
    Title Energy distribution of inelastic gas in a box is dominated by a power law—a derivation in the framework of sample space reducing processes
    DOI 10.1088/1367-2630/acaf15
    Type Journal Article
    Author Thurner S
    Journal New Journal of Physics
    Pages 013014
    Link Publication
  • 2021
    Title Energy distribution of inelastic gas in a box is dominated by a power law -- a derivation in the framework of sample space reducing processes
    DOI 10.48550/arxiv.2110.12730
    Type Preprint
    Author Thurner S
  • 2021
    Title Understanding collapse of social systems through co-evolutionary network dynamics
    Type PhD Thesis
    Author Tuan Minh Pham
    Link Publication
  • 2022
    Title Empirical social triad statistics can be explained with dyadic homophylic interactions
    DOI 10.1073/pnas.2121103119
    Type Journal Article
    Author Pham T
    Journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
    Link Publication
  • 2023
    Title Firm-level supply chains to minimize unemployment and economic losses in rapid decarbonization scenarios
    DOI 10.48550/arxiv.2302.08987
    Type Other
    Author Borsos A
    Link Publication
  • 2023
    Title Homophily-Based Social Group Formation in a Spin Glass Self-Assembly Framework
    DOI 10.1103/physrevlett.130.057401
    Type Journal Article
    Author Korbel J
    Journal Physical Review Letters
    Pages 057401
    Link Publication
  • 2022
    Title Homophily-based social group formation in a spin-glass self-assembly framework
    DOI 10.48550/arxiv.2211.12210
    Type Preprint
    Author Korbel J
  • 2022
    Title Nonequilibrium thermodynamics of uncertain stochastic processes
    DOI 10.48550/arxiv.2210.05249
    Type Preprint
    Author Korbel J
  • 2021
    Title Balance and fragmentation in societies with homophily and social balance
    DOI 10.21203/rs.3.rs-540490/v1
    Type Preprint
    Author Pham T
    Link Publication
  • 2021
    Title Balance and fragmentation in societies with homophily and social balance
    DOI 10.1038/s41598-021-96065-5
    Type Journal Article
    Author Pham T
    Journal Scientific Reports
    Pages 17188
    Link Publication
  • 2020
    Title Stochastic thermodynamics and fluctuation theorems for non-linear systems
    DOI 10.48550/arxiv.2011.06866
    Type Preprint
    Author Korbel J
Disseminations
  • 0 Link
    Title Article in "Spektrum der Wissenschaft", Germany
    DOI 10.1103/physrevresearch.6.013021
    Type A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
    Link Link
  • 0 Link
    Title Article release in Der Standard on protest movements
    Type A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
    Link Link
  • 0 Link
    Title Article release on Science orf.at about social stability
    DOI 10.1073/pnas.2121103119
    Type A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
    Link Link
  • 0
    Title Computation in Dynamical Systems
    Type Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
  • 0 Link
    Title Exchange with professional practioners
    Type A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
    Link Link
  • 0 Link
    Title Interdisciplinary communication in network science
    Type Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
    Link Link
  • 0 Link
    Title Interprofessional exchange on radio Oe1
    Type A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
    Link Link
  • 0 Link
    Title Interview and article release in "News"
    Type A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
    Link Link
  • 0 Link
    Title Multi-disciplinary workshop at ETH Zurich
    Type A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
    Link Link
  • 0 Link
    Title Press release, APA Science
    DOI 10.110.1103/physrevlett.130.057401
    Type A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
    Link Link
  • 0 Link
    Title Statistical Physics of Opinion Formation & Collective Decision-Making
    Type Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
    Link Link
  • 0 Link
    Title Trade-offs between thermodynamic cost, intelligence and fitness in living organisms
    Type Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
    Link Link
  • 0 Link
    Title Workshop on Stochastic Thermodynamics
    Type Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
    Link Link
Scientific Awards
  • 2024
    Title Keynote at the NPCS Annual Conference 2024
    Type Personally asked as a key note speaker to a conference
    Level of Recognition Continental/International
  • 2024
    Title Keynote at ETH Zurich
    Type Personally asked as a key note speaker to a conference
    Level of Recognition Continental/International
  • 2023
    Title Dora Brücke-Teleky Award
    Type Poster/abstract prize
    DOI 10.1103/physrevlett.130.057401
    Level of Recognition National (any country)
  • 2021
    Title 728. WE-Heraeus-Seminar of the Wilhelm and Else Heraeus Foundation
    Type Poster/abstract prize
    Level of Recognition National (any country)

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